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Graham Number Calculator

Calculate the maximum fair value price using Graham's formula

Graham Formulas

Graham Number
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Implied P/E × P/B
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Margin of Safety
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Understanding the Graham Number

The Graham Number, named after Benjamin Graham (the father of value investing and Warren Buffett's mentor), calculates the maximum price a defensive investor should pay for a stock. It combines earnings and book value into a single fair value estimate.

The formula is: √(22.5 × EPS × BVPS). The 22.5 comes from Graham's criteria: maximum P/E of 15 and maximum P/B of 1.5 (15 × 1.5 = 22.5). A stock trading below its Graham Number may be undervalued.

Graham developed this for his 'defensive investor'—someone seeking adequate returns with minimal risk. It's conservative by design, filtering for companies with reasonable valuations relative to both earnings and assets.

Graham's Investment Criteria

📊

P/E ≤ 15

Stock shouldn't be too expensive relative to earnings.

📚

P/B ≤ 1.5

Stock shouldn't be too expensive relative to book value.

✖️

P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5

Combined metric captured in the Graham Number formula.

🛡️

Margin of Safety

Buy significantly below calculated value to protect against error.

Graham Number Examples

StockEPSBVPSGraham #If Price
Example A$5$40$67.08
Example B$3$25$41.08
Example C$8$60$103.92
Example D$2$15$25.98
Bank Stock$4$35$56.12

Using the Graham Number

🎯

Seek Margin of Safety

Don't just buy at Graham Number. Aim for 20-30% below for true margin of safety.

📉

Requires Positive EPS

Graham Number only works with positive earnings. Can't calculate for loss-making companies.

🏦

Best for Certain Sectors

Works well for financials, utilities, industrials. Less useful for growth/tech stocks.

📊

One Tool Among Many

Graham Number is a screening tool. Always do deeper analysis before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who was Benjamin Graham?

Benjamin Graham (1894-1976) was an economist and investor who established value investing as a discipline. His books 'Security Analysis' and 'The Intelligent Investor' are foundational texts. Warren Buffett was his student and protégé.

Why doesn't Graham Number work for tech stocks?

Tech companies often have high P/E (growth expectations) and high P/B (intangible assets). They'd almost never pass Graham's criteria. The formula suits mature, asset-heavy companies better.

What's a good margin of safety?

Graham recommended at least 33% margin of safety. Buffett suggests buying at a significant discount to intrinsic value. 20-50% below Graham Number provides protection against errors.

Should I use TTM or forward EPS?

Use trailing twelve months (TTM) EPS for safety. Forward estimates are uncertain. Graham was conservative—he'd want proven earnings, not projections.

Examples

Defensive value screen with $5 EPS and $30 BVPS

An investor is screening a mature industrial stock with trailing 12-month EPS of $5.00 and book value per share of $30.00. The current market price is $52.

ResultGraham Number = $58.10; margin of safety ~10.5%

Multiply 22.5 by EPS ($5) by BVPS ($30) to get 3,375. Take the square root to get $58.09. Because the share trades at $52, it sits about 10.5% below the Graham Number, suggesting the stock is potentially undervalued on a defensive basis. Graham preferred a 33% margin of safety, so a more conservative investor would wait for a price closer to $39 before buying.

Frequently asked questions

How is the Graham Number different from intrinsic value?

The Graham Number is a conservative ceiling price built only from reported EPS and BVPS, not a full intrinsic value estimate. Intrinsic value typically discounts future cash flows and incorporates growth, while the Graham Number ignores growth entirely and acts as a floor-style fair price for defensive investors screening for cheapness.

When does the Graham Number fail as a valuation tool?

It performs poorly for asset-light businesses such as software, consumer brands, and consulting firms, where most value lives in intangibles that are not on the balance sheet. Reported book value understates true economic capital, so the formula either flags every quality compounder as overvalued or excludes them outright.

Is the Graham Number meant for defensive or enterprising investors?

Graham wrote the formula specifically for the defensive investor in The Intelligent Investor, the passive shareholder who wants adequate returns without deep analysis. Enterprising investors who do detailed research can relax the 22.5 cap and use richer models such as the Graham growth formula or discounted cash flow.

How does this relate to margin of safety?

The Graham Number is a price ceiling, not a buy price. Graham repeatedly recommended buying at least a third below estimated value, so most practitioners apply a 25 to 50 percent discount to the calculated number before considering a purchase. The margin of safety covers errors in EPS, BVPS, and judgment.

What P/E and P/B limits are implied by the 22.5 constant?

The 22.5 multiplier comes from Graham's twin caps of P/E no greater than 15 and P/B no greater than 1.5. Their product is 22.5, so a stock priced at exactly the Graham Number sits on the boundary of both rules. Any meaningful margin of safety pulls the implied multiples below those ceilings.

Why does the formula break with negative or zero EPS?

The square root only returns a real number when EPS and BVPS are both positive. A money-losing firm has no defensive earnings floor, which is exactly the kind of business Graham wanted his defensive investor to avoid. For such cases, switch to a tangible book value screen or wait for sustained profitability.

Sources

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