ADVERTISEMENT

Mobile Banner
320×100

Benjamin Graham Formula Calculator

Calculate the intrinsic value of a stock using Benjamin Graham's classic value investing formula.

Graham's Formulas

Original Formula
Loading formula...
Revised Formula
Loading formula...
Margin of Safety
Loading formula...

Examples

Valuing a stable industrial stock

A mature industrial company reports trailing EPS of $5.00. Analysts project a sustainable 7% annual earnings growth, and the current Moody's AAA corporate bond yield is 4.5%. The stock trades at $90.

ResultIntrinsic Value approximately $110; Margin of Safety approximately 18%

Apply the revised formula: V = 5.00 x (8.5 + 2 x 7) x (4.4 / 4.5) = 5.00 x 22.5 x 0.978 = $110.00 per share. Margin of Safety = (110 - 90) / 110 = 18%. The shares trade below Graham's intrinsic estimate, but the cushion is thinner than the 25-50% margin Graham preferred for defensive investors, so this would be a watchlist candidate rather than an immediate buy.

Frequently asked questions

Who was Benjamin Graham?

Benjamin Graham (1894-1976) was a Columbia Business School professor and the investor who taught Warren Buffett. He is widely regarded as the father of value investing, and his books Security Analysis (1934, with David Dodd) and The Intelligent Investor (1949) introduced the concepts of intrinsic value, margin of safety, and Mr. Market that still anchor fundamental analysis today.

What is the difference between the original and revised Graham formula?

Graham introduced the original formula V = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) in the 1962 edition of Security Analysis, assuming a baseline AAA bond yield around 4.4%. He revised it shortly after to V = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x 4.4 / Y, where Y is the current AAA corporate bond yield. The revised version adjusts the valuation upward when rates fall and downward when rates rise, which makes it more useful in any interest-rate environment.

What does intrinsic value mean in this context?

Intrinsic value is Graham's estimate of what a share is worth based on the company's earnings power and growth prospects, independent of the current market price. If intrinsic value is higher than the market price, the stock may be undervalued. Graham viewed intrinsic value as a fuzzy range rather than a single precise number and only acted when the gap was wide enough to absorb estimation error.

Why does the formula use the AAA corporate bond yield?

Graham used the AAA bond yield as a benchmark risk-free-ish rate that investors could earn without owning equities. When safe bonds yield more, the opportunity cost of holding stocks rises, so the same earnings stream is worth less. The 4.4 numerator in the revised formula is the AAA yield Graham observed when he calibrated the original 8.5 base P/E, so dividing by today's yield rescales the result to current conditions.

How does margin of safety fit into the result?

Graham insisted that buying at intrinsic value is not enough because the inputs (growth rate, future earnings, bond yields) are uncertain. He recommended buying only when the market price is well below intrinsic value, often 25-50% below, so that errors in your assumptions still leave a positive return. This calculator reports margin of safety as (Intrinsic Value - Price) / Intrinsic Value to make that gap explicit.

When does the Graham formula give misleading results?

The formula assumes earnings are reasonably stable and that a single growth rate can describe the next 7-10 years. It tends to overvalue high-growth tech firms because the 8.5 + 2g term explodes with optimistic growth assumptions, and it tends to misvalue cyclical companies (commodities, autos, banks) whose EPS swings wildly with the business cycle. It also struggles with companies that have negative earnings, large non-cash charges, or business models built on intangible assets.

What growth rate should I plug in?

Use a conservative, defensible long-term EPS growth rate, typically 5-10 years out, sourced from consensus analyst estimates, the company's own guidance, or historical earnings growth, whichever is lowest. Graham himself was wary of growth assumptions above 15% and the calculator caps g at 50% as a guardrail. If you must use a high growth rate to justify the price, the formula is signaling that the stock is priced for perfection.

Is this calculator a substitute for a full DCF model?

No. The Graham formula is a screening tool: it gives a quick second opinion on whether a stock is in the right ballpark relative to its earnings and the current rate environment. A discounted cash flow model lets you separate revenue, margins, reinvestment, and terminal value, which matters for serious position sizing. Use Graham as a sanity check on DCF output, not as a replacement for it.

Sources

Methodology

The calculator applies Graham's revised intrinsic-value formula V = EPS x (8.5 + 2g) x (4.4 / Y) and reports the gap between that value and the current market price as a margin of safety. Growth is capped at 50% per Graham's caution against extrapolating implausible growth rates. Outputs are educational only and not investment advice.

Pro Tips

  • Bookmark this calculator for quick access in the future
  • Use the share button to send your results to others
  • Try different scenarios to compare outcomes
  • Check out our related calculators for more insights

Found this calculator helpful? Share it with others:

Embed this calculator